Early winter retreat spells trouble for factories and farms

The short winter literally left Nitin Goel in the cold.

For 50 years, his family’s clothing business in the northwest textile city of Rudyana has created a jacket, a sweater and a sweatshirt. But in the early summer of this year, the company should look at the washing season and change the gear.

GOEL told the BBC, “As winter has become shorter every year, we have to make a t -shirt instead of a sweater. Our sales have been half in the last five years and 10% more over this season.” “The only exception to this was Covid when the temperature dropped significantly.”

As the cool weather retreats, anxiety is accumulating in farms and factories throughout India, and the cut pattern and business plan have been overturned.

According to the Indian Meteorological Agency’s data, last month was the most popular February in India in 125 years. The weekly average temperature was also 1-3C in many regions, more than normal.

The meteorological agency warned that the meteorological agency is expected to continue the normal temperature and heat wave in most regions between March and May.

For small business owners such as Goel, such irregular weather meant more than simply slowing sales. His entire business model, which has been practiced and completed for decades, had to change.

GOEL’s company supplies clothes to multi -brand stores across India. And they said they no longer paid money to delivery and adopted a “sales or return” model that returned to the company, which would be fully transferred to the manufacturer.

He also had to provide greater discounts and incentives to customers this year.

“A large retailer did not pick up the product despite the order,” GOEL said.

In almost 1,200 miles from the Devgad Town on the western coast of India, the heat has been confused by the many beloved Alfonso mango orchards in India.

“This year’s production will be only about 30%of normal returns,” said Vidyadhar Joshi, a farmer with 1,500 trees.

According to Joshi, the sweet, hypertrophic and rich fragrant Alfonso is a valuable export in the area, but according to Joshi, according to Joshi, according to Joshi, where diversity is mainly growing in RAIGAD, Sindhudurg and Ratnagiri.

Josh added, “We can lose this year.” Josh added.

According to him, many other farmers in the area were even returning home because they were sending workers working to work in Nepal’s orchards and not enough.

Hot heat also threatens winter staples such as wheat, chickpea and rape.

The agricultural minister of the country dismissed concerns about poor returns and predicted that India would harvest bumper wheat this year, but independent experts are less hopeful.

Abhishek Jain of the Council on the energy, environment and the CEEW think tank said that in 2022, the heat wave decreased by 15-25% and said, “It can follow a similar trend this year.”

India, the second largest wheat producer in the world, must rely on expensive income when such confusion occurs. Long -term ban on exports announced in 2022 can last longer.

Economists are also worried about the impact of temperature rise on agricultural water availability.

According to the CEEW, the reservoir level in northern India decreased from 37%to 28%last year. This can affect fruits and vegetable yields and dairy sectors, which have already been shown to have already decreased milk production by up to 15% in some areas.

Madan Sabnavis, the chief economist at Baroda Bank, said, “These are likely to strengthen inflation and reverse the 4% goal of the central bank.

India’s food prices have begun to soften in recent months and then become soft, leading to interest rates after the extended temporary suspension.

Asia’s third largest economy of the economy was supported by recent acceleration of rural consumption after recent 7/4 lows last year. The frustration of this farm -led recovery can affect the overall growth when the city’s furniture is reduced and the private investment is not picked up.

Think tanks, such as CEEW, say that they should consider various urgent measures to alleviate the effects of repeated heat, such as reducing risks and improving yields, including a better weather forecast infrastructure, agricultural insurance and climate model.

As an agricultural country, India is particularly vulnerable to climate change.

The CEEW is estimated to be three of the four Indian districts, “extreme event hotspots,” and 40%of them are “swap trends.” This traditionally means that the areas where floods are easy to occur are more frequent and intense drought, and vice versa means to some extent.

According to one estimated, the country is expected to lose about 5.8%of daily working hours due to heat stress by 2030. Climate transparency, an advocate group, recognized that the potential income of India in the service, manufacturing, agriculture and construction sectors was recognized as 5.4%of GDP due to the extreme heat of 2021- or 5.4%.

If there is no urgent action, India is in danger of the future that threatens life and economic stability.

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