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High stakes as Iran nuclear issue reaches crunch moment

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Caroline holeBbc diplomatic correspondent

grey placeholderReuters Iran's chief leader, Ayatollah Ali Khameneii, speeches to students in Iran Tehran (March 12, 2025)Reuters

Iran’s chief leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, refused to negotiate with the United States for a nuclear program.

Nearly 10 years later, it is a crisis moment for Iran and the international community, almost 10 years after the world’s power has established a historic contract to limit the Iran nuclear program.

This country is now closer to any time to create a nuclear bomb.

The agreement, designed to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, expires at the end of this year.

“This is the true fork of the road,” said Dr. Sanam Vakil, based in London, said. “Without meaningful and successful diplomacy, we could see Iran’s weapons or see a military strike for the Islamic Republic.”

The agreement, which was negotiated for almost two years according to Barack Obama’s position, imposed a restriction on Iran’s nuclear activities.

But after Donald Trump withdrew his contract and restored US sanctions during his first presidential position, Iran gradually stopped compliance.

It accelerated the concentration of uranium used to make a reactor fuel, but potentially accelerated nuclear bombs close to weapons.

Experts say Iran will now enrich enough ingredients to make a single nuclear weapon in less than a week.

Thus, urgent diplomatic activities by the United States, the United Kingdom, China, France, Germany and Russia, such as the United States and five other parties.

grey placeholderDonald Trump signed an administrative order at the OVAL Office of the White House, which shows the US president of the United States (March 6, 2025)EPA

Donald Trump said that a letter to Iran has proposed a talk on negotiations to take over nuclear weapons and prevent possible military action.

The closed door meeting of the UN Security Council discussed Aran’s nuclear program on Wednesday.

And China is talking to Iran and Russia in a Friday resolution.

A spokesman for China’s foreign affairs spokesman Mao Ning said, “In the present situation, all parties believe that they must maintain calm and binding to avoid the expansion of the nuclear situation.

Wednesday, President Trump’s letter was delivered by a high -ranking diplomat from the United Arab Emirates in Tehran.

The content is not disclosed.

But Trump issued a new sanctions on Iran as part of the “Maximum Pressure” campaign, and announced last week’s television to Iran last week.

“I told them,” If we have to go military, it will be terrible, so we hope to negotiate. “

Iran’s chief leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, seemed to reject the conversation with “harassment.”

Publicly, publicly, President Masud PEZESHKIAN has a masud pezeshkian that has previously supported the resurrection of nuclear transactions to end sanctions.

But the country is sending a mixed message.

Dr. Vakil said, “This country has a camp that prefers negotiations. “And there is a camp where Iran can manage security as the best opportunity to manage security.”

There is a lack of trust in the Trump administration.

“They saw a way of being irregular and harassed. [Ukraine’s President Volodymyr] Zelen Ski. Dr. Vakil added.

Iran hates the humiliation of holding a gun on his head. But last year, it is vulnerable to be weakly weakened by Israeli raids. This is believed to have destroyed most aviation defenses that protect the nuclear program.

Israel wanted to take out the facilities for a long time.

Iranian authorities continue to argue that the state’s nuclear program is for peaceful purposes.

But the concerns of the international community are becoming more and more serious.

grey placeholderReuters Tandrition Photo IAEA Director Rafael Grossi (2nd L) is the vice president of atomic energy organization, Veruz Kamal Bandi (L), in front of Fordo Nuclear Facility near Iran Qom (November 15, 2024)Reuters

Rafael Grossi of IAEA visited two nuclear scenes while traveling to Iran in November.

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which monitors Moribund nuclear transactions, has seen Iran has seen strengthening its nuclear function in other facilities across the country for the past few years.

According to the director of Rafael Grossi of IAEA, uranium stock, which is rich in up to 60% purity, nearly 90% needed for weapons, is “growing very fast.”

In the latest report, the IAEA said, “There is a serious concern that the production of high concentrated uranium in Iran, the only non -nuclear weapon state that produces these nuclear materials, and the enhanced uranium increased.”

However, since the authorities eliminated the IAEA surveillance equipment, the nuclear watchers are no longer in a position to confirm what Iran is doing.

Grossi says that diplomatic participation with Iran is urgent and “indispensable” through all possible channels.

On October 18 and 2015, nuclear trading parties will lose their ability to impose so -called “Snapback” UN sanctions on Iran.

Thus, the UK, France and Germany are still threatening the snapback sanctions for pressure if possible.

James Kariki, deputy director of the UK, said, “We are clear that we will take diplomatic measures to prevent Iran from taking over nuclear weapons.”

Steaks are high in Iran and the world.

According to Dr. Alexander Bollfrass, if Tehran decided to build a bomb, it can enrich uranium for multiple vehicles in a few weeks.

But designing and assembling the weapons that can be delivered will take the BBC more than a few months to a year.

“Iran is closer to nuclear weapons,” he said. “But it is still not clear whether it decided to develop a nuclear weapon or is looking for a negotiation leverage.”

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2025-03-14 02:53:00

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