Attack in 2001. on the Indian parliament in New Delhi in which nine people were killed. Attack on the Temple of Akshardham in the Western city of Ahmedabad in 2002. in which 33 people died. Attacks of Mumbai 2008 in which more than 160 people were killed. Several other attacks. Finally, the killings in Pahalgam, the Indian, administered Kashmir, in which 22. April shot at Gunmen 26 people.
Maja 7 rockets in Pakistan and Kashmir who were given to the return, said Novi Delhi, for refusing Islamabad to break the armed groups, which India insisted, trained and sheltered neighbors in the past four decades. Islamabad denies that charge – although he admits that some of these groups are based in Pakistan.
But the projectile strikes were approximately more than retaliation, on Wednesday, the Indian Secretary of the Foreign Minister of Vikram Mismer. Strikes, he said, launched “coercion to deter and an ancestor” attack armed groups launched on Indian territory. Misi accused Pakistan that she did not take “demonstrable steps” against “terrorist infrastructure in his territory or supervision.”
Nevertheless, as well as tensions between neighbors of nuclear armed hours per hour, and the accusation of India the launch of wave of drones serves whether the Indian approach that deterred from armed groups who want him to target him. They claim that new Delhi’s actions are more symbolic and aim to resolve the domestic audience, not tactical progress in the so-called “fight against terror”.
“This is all the homemade theater,” said Ajai Sahni, the executive director of the southern Asian terrorist portal (SATP), a platform that accompanies and analyzes armed attacks in South Asia. “Indian strikes (in Pakistan) do not have a deterrent value.
“The goal of the strike has nothing to do with military output – the goal (for Indian Prime Minister Irandra Modi) was to talk to his homemade audience,” said Sahni said Al Jazeeri said. “And (Pakistani pledge) revenge is to talk to the audience of the other side. It’s a genius of it – that both sides of this will claim.”
‘Justice is served’
The Indian Army and Secretary of the Foreign Places Misca claimed Wednesday that the country’s security forces were precise and careful in choosing their goals.
Among them were Murids, next to Lahore, Pakistanov, Pakistani’s most popular city, and what India described as a Lashkar-Taiba camp (some), a group after 2008. Years.
On the Media program with Misrim, Colonel Indian Army Sofiya Quereshi referred to a place where the key perpetrators of Mumbai attacks – including Ajmal Kasab, the only attacker who was trapped in life – were the only attacker who was alive. More than 160 people died in Mumbai attack.
India also hit Bahawalpur, who claims that Jaish-e-Muhammad’s headquarters, an armed group behind a suicide attack for suicide in Kashmir in which more than 40 Indian paramilitary soldiers were killed.
“Justice is served,” the Indian army noticed in the post on X as early reports on rocket strikes on Wednesday, 15 days after the murders of Pahalga. Indian strikes rocket killed at least 31 people in Pakistan – all civilians, according to Islamabad – including two children. India denied she targeted civilians.
But Pakistan threatened to hit back, and after Thursday poison attacks, the South Asian nations are even closer to the full military conflict. All the hits taken by armed groups from Indian missiles will not basically change their ability to target India, Sahni said.
“All these strikes will result in certain tactical and operational adaptations,” Sahni said.
‘Renewed armed movement’
This – an adapted strategy with armed groups – is exactly what is shown on the screen on 22. April, when Gunmen attacked tourists in Pahalgam, experts say.
In February 2019, after a suicide attack on Indian troops, the Indian war choirs broke through Pakistani airspaces and bombed Balacotes in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, where New Delhi claimed that he hit “terrorist camps.” As Pakistan pushed the nozzles in response, Dogfight followed, and the jet in Indian aviation. Pakistan captured the Indian pilot before he returned him 60 hours later.
Both nations claimed – the Fashion Government in New Delhi said she entered Pakistan and bombed “terrorists”, while Pakistan pointed out the lowering of the Indian jet and capturing the pilot as proof that he was on top. And so in any side, they don’t say experts, they felt the need to really change.
That’s why Sahni said he believes no matter how current threats and attacks of Tit-For-TAT and attack, will not change long-term calculations for any of the actors involved. Instead, “tensions will be held, maybe in different forms.”
The Kashmir political analyst – who saw wars in India in India in 1965, 1971. and 1999, and three decades of the armed rebellion of Kashmirie against the Indian rule – agreed. “That it was supposed to work, then Kashmir wouldn’t stand where we were today,” he said, looking for anonymity, the fear of retaliation from Indian forces. “One of the world’s coldest counts.”
Six months after Pulwama attack, New Delhi unilaterally recalled the partial autonomy of Kashmir and stabbed him into two allied managed territories in August 2019. Years.
Then India imposed Kashmir and arrested dozens of political leaders, journalists and human rights activists, even while the government has claimed that the region was returning to “Normalcy”. Despite that – and hundreds of armed rebels killed by Indian security forces over the years, the “armed movement continues,” Sahni pointed out.
“The movement is constantly renewed (despite the countermeasures of India three decades),” Sahni noticed. “There was a certain loss of material in the liquid attack – the buildings were bound – but if there is implicit support for these groups in Pakistan, it will always return.”
‘Fiasco’
In the early hours on Wednesday, the Pakistani Army claimed that it was falling at least five Indian war transports that were involved in projectile strikes. Local Indian officials and security sources confirmed Al Jazeera and other media that at least two combat jets “crashed”, although Indian officials did not publicly comment on the question.
If non-perpetrators really belonged to the Indian fleet, “India will become difficult to make a decision on the future to impose criminal strikes in Pakistan,” said Ajai a commentator for Pakistan, who served in the Indian Army from 1976. until 2001. years.
SHUKLA noted that although the planned and convinced strike would have deterres to the value, “reality eventually depend on how much loss was applied, compared to the losses.
“That’s the moment in which India needs to pause and think,” Shukla added. “Even when both countries argue that he is victory, at least one of them knows that it doesn’t win. It was something that proved to be a fiasco.
“If there will be an attitude that we will not admit anything and we will declare victory, and then probably that weakness will never eradicate,” Shukla said.
To the sahn, there is a more immediate danger that appeared from strikes in the past two days. Prior to that, he said, both parties acted within unspoken but accepted “calibrated boundaries”.
No no anymore.
“There are no clear lines on what is now” escalation “,” he said. “And it’s a classic slippery slope, on the edge of the risk spiral.”
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2025-05-08 10:38:00
