
The World Trade Organization (WTO) predicted that global trade will fall this year due to US President Donald Trump’s tariffs.
The addition of “serious risk”, including mutual tariffs and political uncertainty, can be added to make global product transactions more clear.
The WTO predicted that “decline will be particularly steep in North America,” the WTO predicted that trade would fall more than a tenth of the region.
NGOZI IKONJO IWEALA, Director of the WTO, called the “separation” of the United States and China as “a really worrying phenomenon.”
The WTO predicted that global product transactions were expected to increase by 2.7% in 2025, but now it is expected to decrease 0.2%.
Ralph Ossa chief economist said:
“According to our simulation, the uncertainty of trade policy has a significant impact on trade trends, reducing exports and weakening economic activities.”
In addition, the UNCTAD UN Trade Development Agency released its own report on Wednesday, and in 2025, the global growth slowed to 2.3%and increased trade tension and uncertainty.
The project said it was lower than the “2.5% critical price that was widely seen as a signal of the global economic downturn.”
Some areas can still see trade growth.
Some countries and products are exempted, but on April 5, 10%of the tariffs on almost all foreign income to the United States have begun.
China has a much higher tariff and a total of 145%of most products.
The US stock market began to open on Wednesday.
The WTO is expected to see trade growth in some regions, despite the prediction of a plunge in transaction with the United States.
Asia and Europe said they are expected to show humble growth in both exports and imports this year.
The WTO report said, “collective contributions to global trade growth in other regions will remain positively.
For the first time, the report includes service transaction predictions. This is when the state purchases and sells services with each other instead of a product.
This is common in industries such as tourism or finance where there is no physical delivery, but the service is provided.
The WTO is expected to increase service transactions by 4% by 2025, which is about 1 percentage point lower than expected.
Trump’s tariff announcement and climbing
Since Trump’s inauguration in January, there have been many announcements on tariffs.
The US president says import taxes will encourage US consumers to buy more US products, increase the amount of increased taxes, and lead to huge investment in the country.
But critics say that regaining manufacturing in the United States will be complicated, takes decades, and the economy will have difficulty.
Trump also tracked many of his announcements.
Trump announced earlier this month in a few hours after a steep imposition of US trading partners. 90 days suspended China’s list of tariffs on all countries to emphasize politicians and market opposition.
The British bank governor in March said that Trump’s tariff Less money In the pocket of a British consumer.
https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/branded_news/2d4b/live/efdcdf60-1ac3-11f0-8699-af8a0981754f.jpg
2025-04-16 16:25:00