Why Trump is struggling to win fast ceasefire in Ukraine

When Donald Trump met with President Jellen Ski in New York last September, the US presidential candidate was confident. “If we win, we think we will solve it very quickly,” he said.

How quickly he means change over time. A few days ago, in a TV debate, President Trump promised that he would settle down before he became president. This was an escalation for his previous promise to prevent his first 24 hours of fighting in May 2023.

President Trump has been working for more than two months, and Penny can take time in the White House, so you can try to end conflict and complex conflicts.

In a television interview last weekend, the US president admitted that he was “a bit cynical” when he promised to end the war a day.

There are many reasons for slowing progress than the Trump team expected.

First, the president’s faith in his personal and one -on -one diplomacy may have been misplaced. He believed that sitting with other leaders for a long time and agreed to the deal could solve all international problems. Sea Trump On February 12, I spoke with President Vladimir Putin for the first timeOne and a half dialogue was described as “very productive.” Two leaders It was repeated on March 18th.

However, it is clear that such a telephone call did not immediately secure a 30 -day temporary ceasefire. The only real concession that he pressed from President Putin was a promise to end Russia’s attack on Ukrainian energy facilities. In a few hours after the phone.

Second, Russian President made it clear that he was not trying to rush. His first public opinion on negotiations took place at a press conference all month after a telephone call with Trump last week.

Putin showed that he firmly opposed the US second -level strategy that pursued a mid -term ceasefire before talking about the long -term agreement. Instead, he said that any conversation should deal with what he sees as “the root cause of war.” In other words, the expansion of the NATO alliance and the existence of Ukraine are sovereignty and threat to Russian security. He also presented detailed questions and conditions to respond and meet before the transaction was agreed.

Third, the US strategy, which indicates the initial focus on Ukraine, may have been misunderstood. The White House has reached the belief that President Jellen Ski is an obstacle to peace. Western diplomats admitted slowly to realize how much the world has changed with the arrival of President Trump.

But US pressure in the United States caused an infamous confrontation in the oval office when President Trump and his vice -president JD Vance spent time, effort and political capital to Ukrainian leaders.

In addition, there was another diplomatic problem that took time to secure and settle in Europe and the United States by rupturing the Atlantic crosswalk. President Vladimir Putin sat all sat down.

Fourth, the complexity of conflict makes the solution difficult. Ukrainian proposals were initially forced to cease in the air and the sea. The idea was that it would be relatively simple to monitor.

But in a conversation held in Jedda last week, the United States insisted that it should include more than 1200 km of wires on the east in an immediate ceasefire. Immediately the armistice was more complicated. Of course, this was rejected by President Putin.

But even his agreement on a more humble proposal to end the attack on the energy infrastructure is no problem. This is a detailed proposal for many technical negotiations that are expected to be held in Saudi Arabia on Monday. Military and energy experts will write a detailed list of potential power plants that can be protected by nucleus or other other.

We will also try to agree with which weapon system should be used. But it may take time to agree with the difference between energy and other private infrastructure. Remember: Ukraine and Russia do not talk to each other. They are involved separately from the United States, which promises the shuttle between both sides. This is added again in time.

Fifth, the United States focuses on the economic benefits of armistice. President Trump spent time to agree with a framework transaction that can access Ukraine’s critical minerals. Some people have seen this as an American investment in the future of Ukraine.

Zelen Ski has argued that the United States can only agree with Ukraine if he promises to provide security guarantees to interfere with the future invasion of Russia. The White House refused to say that the existence of our mining company and workers would be fully suppressed. In the end, Zelensky admitted to defeat and agreed to mineral transactions without security guarantees. Nevertheless, the United States has not yet signed the agreement and hoped to improve the conditions, including the access or ownership of the Ukrainian nuclear power plant.

The ending war can be complicated and takes a lot of time. We would not have reached this stage without Trump’s promotion, but progressive was not as fast or simple as he believed. In December 2018, VolodyMyr Zelensky, which campaigned for the presidential position, suggested that negotiations with Vladimir Putin will be very simple. “You have to talk in a very simple way.” He told DMYTRO GORDON, a Ukrainian journalist.. “” What do you want, what are the conditions? ” And I tell them: ‘There is our point here.’ We will agree somewhere in the middle. “

Well, according to the last two months of evidence, it can be more difficult than that.