How Me and China escalates the trade war, the world asks, “Who will blink first?” | News Donald Trump

As the President of the United States Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping face the Escalation Trade War, which boarded the global market and the company’s large, the issue of countless minds will first blink.

Trump pushed China with a tariff of 145 percent. Beijing revenge on 125 percent duties.

Trump increased his trade in his trade on Tuesday by ordering the national security audit of imports of critical minerals, most of which come from China.

Earlier, Bloomberg News reported If China ordered their airlines not to take the supply of jet nozzles and stop the purchase of equipment and parts related to American companies, while the postal Hong Kong’s postal service would announce that they will no longer deal in the mail.

“Tariff of 145 percent will prevent China in the USA – the costs of both economies will be extremely high,” said Vice President of the research and strategy in the Asian Pacific Based Canada, Al Jazeera said.

“Full separation is almost impossible to think.”

“Who will blink first depends on who can withstand more pain and better prepared,” she added.

While Trump has long accused China as fish from the United States, and analysts questioned whether his administration has a clear goal of what he wanted to achieve with his tariffs.

Harry Broadman, a former American assistant representative and one of the main negotiators of the WTO, said that it is not clear whether Trump wants to close the trade deficit with China or end-to-end-country business.

“How Trump deals US firms that need their goods from China For their work factories? It’s not black and white, “Broadman al Jazeera said.

“Markets are layered through different stages of production, you have components that come from around the world. The global economy is finely chopped vertically, so they are not obvious who are winners and losers.”

Broadman said Trump’s access to trade was simplified and unrealistic.

“He is obviously a guy in real estate, but not international markets … as he thinks that is,” How can I win and how can I lose the opponent? “” He said the opponent losing? ”

“It’s not more sophisticated than that. It’s not interested in separating the loot. But you don’t get very far away with it.”

Grabalculations

Trump clearly said he believed he was in China to reach the negotiating table.

In the Tuesday statement, the Secretary of the White House of Karolina Leavitt quoted Trump as if the ball in Chinese court “.

“China needs to make a contract with us, we don’t have to deal with them,” Leavitt said in the media briefing in the remarks that she said she was directly from Trump.

While the American economy entered a trade war in a relatively strong position compared to China – facing winds, including high unemployment and low domestic demand – Beijing is preparing for the trade war of at least the trump cards for analysts.

“The Trump Management erred in wrong that China would quickly reach the negotiating table and would answer the threats,” Dexter Tiff Roberts, a non-resident higher associate at the Global Chinese Center of the Atlantic Council, said Al Jazeera.

Last week, everyday people, the mouthpiece of the Chinese Communist Party, said the country was prepared for tariffs after accumulating “rich experience” over the last eight years of trading tensions with the United States.

“For China, this is an almost existential struggle and trade and safety,” Roberts said, relating to repeated statements from XI to grow, while the West is declining.

China diversifies its trade from the US for years, including reducing their dependence on American agricultural products such as soybeans, which is now mostly source from Brazil.

2024. 14.7 percent of Chinese exports went to the United States, down from 19.2 percent in 2018. years.

On Monday, the XI started a five-day tour of Southeast Asia aimed at the claim that the Chinese self-employed painting as a freest trade champion and more reliable partners in the region from the United States.

There are also political considerations for China.

XI built a picture of a strong man and capitating for the United States, harm this picture, something that cannot risk in both the land and in Chinese business with other countries, Roberts said.

“They will probably find somewhere that both parties declare victory, because they will go nuclear and it will close the entire trade between us and China and I don’t understand how it works and it will have shocking global implications.

‘Wrong obsession’

Robert Rogowsky, a professor of trade and economic diplomacy at the Institute of International Studies Middrery in Monterey, California, said that Trump is to blink first.

“So much blinking in Washington that it is almost hard to believe that there would be no more,” Rogowsky said, Al Jazeera said.

“Trump has this wrong occasion of tariffs and blinks because he is under special interests – a rich in huge amounts of wealth, adding that Rogowsky, adding that Rogowsky, adding that Rogowsky, adding to be a recent restlessness of the financial markets damaged their support base.

On Friday announced Trump administration that Exempt import of technology From the rope of 145 percent in China, although the white house officials said they were temporary residual and sectoral tariffs in the pipeline.

Trump on Monday suggested that he also considers the exception from his 25 percent authorif.

“Any public policy negotiations has the layers of negotiations: negotiations with those behind the table and many with those behind you (which are behind you that in this case, adding that Trump” negotiated “with special interests in the technical and automatic sector and” dat immediately “.

It is possible that Trump was driven by fear of losing support to the industry managers, he added.

“The process starts (giving) and will continue before someone ever arrives in Beijing. And Beijing can sit and watch,” Rogowsky said, describing Trump as “Draw”.

“The Šegret worked because he was hosted at the middle level without power, not manage others,” he said, referring to Trump’s company Trump’s television show.

Trump’s lack of political coherence also harms the United States at other levels, according to Wei Liang, an expert for international trade at the Institute of International Study Middlebury.

The former focus of the American President Joe Biden was “strategically and his allies, but Trump alienates everything,” Liang told Al Jazeera.

“In the short term, the MNC and countries must perform adaptations and crisis management. But in the long run now they have damaged their relationships, especially in security,” Liang said.

Although most countries do not have a real alternative – the fact that will buy Washington Time – countries will be in the long run, try to develop “US + 1 strategy can no longer be able to the most often the market for security contracts,” she said.