Taiwanese Coast Guard Administration said he could not exclude the possibility that China was scheduled by Hong Tai Tai 58 as part of the “Inflammation” of the gray area “.
Recent cases of damage cables for submarines around the island and in Europe suggest that proving sabotage, much less holding anyone responsibly, may not be an easy task.
Since 2023. There were at least 11 cases of underwater damage cables around Taiwan and at least 11 such incidents in Baltic SeaAccording to Taiwanese and European authorities.
Taiwanese and European authorities identified China or Russia – allies who share all stressed relations with West and their partners – such as probable culprits in a series of incidents, although they are attributed to several others on natural causes.
In January, NATO launched the Baltic Guard To increase supervision of suspicious boat activity in the Baltic Sea.
But the authorities did not announce special reprisal measures against Beijing or Moscow, although the European Commission presented the road plan referred to in the implementation of sanctions and diplomatic measures against unnamed “hostile actors” and “fleet” in the shadows “.
Authorities must also accuse individuals or companies despite detain numerous containers and crews, including Hong Tai 58, which was taken near Taiwan’s remote islands 25. February.
Beijing and Moscow denied any involvement in sabotaging underwater cables.
“This is about the whole gray area. It is about refusing” Ray Powell, the director of StanFord’s Sea-Light project, which follows Chinese maritime activity, said Al Jazeera.
“You just have to be rejected enough so that even though everyone knows that you are you, I can’t prove that you are you.”
Subsequent cables – which CrissCross Globe carries 99 percent of intercontinental digital communication traffic – regularly suffers from age, changes in environmental and sea activities such as fishing.
Cable errors are so common – numbering between 100 and 200 each year, according to the telecommunications data provider TelegeGoGraphoOPhooPoPhooPhOM – that industrial practice is to build underground networks with built-in connection if one cable is reduced.
These characteristics also make the ended cables to the main goal for “hybrid warfare” or “gray zone” that are often opaque and suitable for convincing disorders – according to security analysts.
“Most breakdowns are the result of accidents … anchors can be unintentionally rejected in rough seas, and when it is intended to be broken in the wrong location, said Kevin Frazier, Tarbell Associate, Al Jazeera said.
The “simplest way for a bad actor to break the cable is to look like one of the accidents that usually cause such breaks. Anchors woven over the cable is one cause.”
Barbara Keleman, associate in London and the Intelligence company based on Singapore, said that Popha recent cables contained signs of Sabotage for a relatively large number of failures every year in non-complicated circumstances.
“If You Just Look At The Data, Like How Occurring and How Many Cables Are Suddenly Damaged at The Same Time, And You Include Into Those Ships Near Those Cables, You Have Statistical Deviation Which Suggests That There Is Something else Going on, “Keleman Told Al Jazeera.
The incident involving Hong Tai 58 came only a few weeks after the same authorities briefly arrested the Cameroon flag in Xing-in-in-in-to-a-suspend of his anchor over the cross-section of the Trans-Pacific Express Cable, which connects Taiwan from the Western Coast of the United States.
Coast guard officials said they could not board the vessel because of bad weather, and the vessels were boats to South Korea.
The publication in the Lloyd’s list industry states that the Chinese freight system is involved and excluded and excluded and emitted as many as three separate identities.
The realization of the Law on the sea is notoriously difficult for not only practical reasons, but also legal, including conflicting claims of jurisdiction.
According to the United Nations Convention on the Law, ships that sail in international waters are mainly subject to the legal competence of the country under whose flag are registered.
In the territorial waters of the state, defined as 12 nautical miles (22km) from the coast, vessels are subject to the competence of that country.
The authorities may, however, practice “universal jurisdiction” through the ship outside their territorial waters in a limited number of circumstances, including cases of piracy, “terrorism” and slavery.
Some countries also claim jurisdiction in international waters in cases where the citizen is a victim or perpetrator of crime.
Even in cases where authorities may have jurisdiction and evidence, it can be difficult to perform a legal case for deliberate sabotage, Dragonfly’s Keleman said.
“If investigators or intelligence services can be considered a communication that clearly shows the order for the ship’s captain to do so, they could have a quarrel and may try to prosecute,” she said.
“I doubt it will be pretty hard.”
Research of European authorities YI Peng 3 After cancellation Two sub-landscommunication cables in November stressed the challenges of responding to the acts of suspicious sabotage.
Data AIS showed Yi Peng 3 slowdown near two cables – which has finally linked to Germany and Swedish with Lithuania – about the time of their separation.
Sonar pictures of the nearby sea sea showed evidence that the vessel withdrew his anchor for as much as 160 km (99 miles).
Despite the evidence, European investigators soon affected the diplomatic wall because the ship flown in the field and was anchored in international waters.
Beijing announced that he would Explore the incident Alone alone, although she allowed representatives from Germany, Sweden, Finland and Denmark to board the ship as “observers”.
At the end of December, the Chinese Foreign Ministry announced that the owner of Yi Peng 3 decided to continue his journey to consider the physical and mental health health and after “comprehensive assessment and counseling” with European authorities.
The Chinese Maritime Security Directorate and its embassy in Stockholm did not respond to Al Jazeere for comment.
Swedish Foreign Affairs Minister Maria Malmar Stenergard has criticized Beijing at that time because it allows them to make a preliminary investigation into their investigators.
“Our request for Swedish prosecutors, together with the police and others may take certain investigative measures within the investigation on the residual ship. We were clear with China in this,” Stenergard said.
But even if European investigators were dissatisfied, there was a lot that could be needed to cause an international incident, said Jens Wenzel, a Danish defense analyst in the Nordic Defense analysis.
“In international waters, it is quite difficult without the consent of the master, the owner / operator of the flag. The territorial waters begins the jurisdiction of the coastal state, which provides inspection if there is any suspicion of illegal activity,” Wenzel told Al Jazeer.
“In the case of Yi Peng 3, it is anchored exactly outside the Danish (territorial waters), giving both Coastal State Denmark and Swedish difficulty in Sweden using force to work in place.”
In the months of Yi Peng 3, he left Europe, incidents of cables damage to the Baltic Sea continued even as NATO was obliged to strengthen its defense in the region.
Include an incident from 25. December inclusion of eagle withSuspected Russian oil cister flying on the flag of the echoic islands.
The ship withdrew his anchor 100km (62 miles), harmful cables of subgroups in Finland, according to the Finnish authorities.
Unlike other cases, the Finnish authorities inserted the ship into their territorial waters and captured.
Three crew members are currently under the ban on travel, and the criminal investigation is the criminal investigation, although the Eagle Sio was allowed from the Finnish last month.
Herman Ljungberg, a Finnish attorney who represents the owners of eagle S, said al Jazeera that the accusations of the “nonsense” were “searched by Nine Weeks and go out on and go out on and out on and out.”
With the US President Donald Trump, the Russian War in Ukraine was completed last week for the end of the conflict to release the resources for Russia and his adult to perform the work of sabotage.
“The use of the proxy operator by various countries has recently become a more prominent aspect of both intelligence and broader competitions. Sabotage operations in Europe associated with Russian military intelligence services are one example,” said Finland Security and Intelligence.
“Using intermediaries, Russia seeks to cover their paths. Russian sabotage operations aim to affect public opinion and a sense of public safety and to overcome authorities in targeted countries.”
The Russian Embassy in Stockholm did not answer the comment request.
Powell Sea Light said the active acts will be sabotaged against subgrain cables likely to continue.
“This seems to be something a recent trend, and China and Russia and others will do it because they will basically calculate that the answer will not be bad enough,” he said.
“The question then descends, how the international community reacts? How does Taiwan react? What happened to China or Russia who has yet to send a message that this is so unbearable that it is not worth doing again?”
https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/AP25056405722064-1741154006_b36619-1741566517.jpg?resize=1200%2C630&quality=80
2025-03-10 04:18:00
